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Current SITREP & ORBAT (31.10.2026, 10:07)

Ukrainian air defense forces intercepted and suppressed 105 out of 134 Russian UAVs (72 jet-powered Shahed, Gerbera, and Parody imitator drones) launched from Orel, Kursk, Shatalovo, Millerovo (Russia), TOT Donetsk, and TOT AR Crimea (Gvardeyskoye). Hits were recorded at 20 locations, and debris fell at 10 locations. Total Russian losses for the past 24 hours are estimated at 1670 personnel, 3 armored combat vehicles, 19 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 2 air defense systems, 6 ground robotic systems, 1663 UAVs, and 206 automotive vehicles. There were 173 combat engagements, 3 missile strikes, 75 air strikes (255 guided aerial bombs), 9189 kamikaze drones, and 3104 shellings (15 with MLRS).

1. Kinetic Strike Log (5W)

  • [Ukraine | 2026-10-29] Where: Kiev (Darnytskyi and Dniprovskyi districts)

    Who/With What: Russian forces with RM-48U ballistic missiles (modified 48N6 interceptors from S-400 systems).

    Effect: Fires and damage to warehouses, residential buildings, and other infrastructure. [C3] (Source: article)

  • [Ukraine | 2026-10-30] Where: Dnipropetrovsk, Kamianske, Pavlohrad, Synelnykove, Slobozhanske, Oleksandrivka, Kharkiv (Novobavarskyi, Osnovianskyi, Slobidskyi, Nemyshlianskyi Districts), Zlatopil, Merefa, Chuhuiv, Zaporizhzhia City, Rozumivka, Poltava

    Who/With What: Russian forces with Geran-4 jet-drones, Geran-2 drones, KAB glide-bombs, and unspecified drones.

    Effect: Large-scale attacks on energy and railway infrastructure. In Dnipropetrovsk, 5 attacks on railway infrastructure, 3 locomotives destroyed, a road bridge in Slobozhanske struck, a combine harvester struck (unclear if targeted or debris), widespread power outages, and new rolling blackouts. In Kharkiv, production workshops at ‘Proton’ industrial zone (producing components for AFU weapons) and drone assembly/storage warehouses were hit, a warehouse facility in southern suburbs hit. In Zaporizhzhia, ‘Zaporizhzhia-Live’ Railway station struck, resulting in a large fire, at least 11 KAB glide-bombs struck southern suburbs and Rozumivka. Fires reported in Synelnykove and Kharkiv. Power outages in Poltava. [B2] (Source: AMK_Mapping, RVvoenkor, ramzayiegokomanda, warhistoryalconafter, militarysummary, boris_rozhin, dva_majors, astrapress, eRadarrua)

  • [Ukraine | 2026-10-30] Where: Kiev (Troyeshchina, Obolon, Pechersk, Bereznyaki, Rusanovka, Borshchagovka, Minsk massif, Left Bank)

    Who/With What: Russian forces with Geran-2 drones.

    Effect: Critical infrastructure object hit three times, causing power and water supply disruptions in multiple districts. [C3] (Source: ramzayiegokomanda, militarysummary, boris_rozhin, astrapress)

  • [Russia | 2026-10-30] Where: Ufa (Bashkortostan)

    Who/With What: Ukrainian UAVs.

    Effect: Industrial area attacked, likely one of three oil refineries (Bashneft-Novoil) hit, causing fires and smoke. Local reports suggest two enterprises were attacked. [B2] (Source: warhistoryalconafter, eRadarrua, intelslava, rybar, militarysummary, nexta_live, astrapress, yigal_levin)

  • [Russia | 2026-10-30] Where: Klimovo, Bryansk Oblast

    Who/With What: Ukrainian drone.

    Effect: Private house hit, two Russian personnel killed. [C3] (Source: eRadarrua)

  • [Black Sea | 2026-10-30] Where: 18 km south of Odessa

    Who/With What: Russian forces with unspecified drones.

    Effect: Dry cargo ship, transporting goods for AFU needs, hit. [C3] (Source: RVvoenkor, dva_majors, warhistoryalconafter, boris_rozhin)

  • [Saudi Arabia | 2026-10-30] Where: Eastern Region, Southern Region

    Who/With What: Houthi drones.

    Effect: One drone intercepted over the oil-rich Eastern Region, another destroyed targeting the Southern Region. [C3] (Source: SyriaMonitor, BSKY: osint-signals.com)

  • [Gaza | 2026-10-30] Where: Nuseirat, Gaza City, Deir al-Balah, Beit Lahia

    Who/With What: Israeli strikes and shelling.

    Effect: Several people reportedly killed, including Arafat al-Ar’eer from injuries sustained in an earlier strike. [C3] (Source: BSKY: osint-signals.com)

2. Identified Equipment, Armament, and Combat Modifications

  • Model: RM-48U ballistic missile

    Modified derivative of the 48N6 interceptor family, originally for S-300PM, integrated into S-400. Used in strikes against Kiev. Assessed to be less accurate and have a less powerful warhead than 9K720 Iskander-M. [C3] (Source: article)

  • Model: Geran-4 jet-drone

    Used in large-scale attacks on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast. [B2] (Source: AMK_Mapping)

  • Model: Geran-2 drone

    Used in strikes against Kharkiv Oblast. [B2] (Source: AMK_Mapping)

  • Model: KAB glide-bomb

    Used in strikes against Zaporizhzhia City and Rozumivka. [B2] (Source: AMK_Mapping)

  • Model: Shahed (jet-powered), Gerbera, Parody (imitator) drones

    134 UAVs launched by Russia, 105 intercepted/suppressed. [C3] (Source: kpszsu, ComAFUA, operativnoZSU, GeneralStaffZSU)

  • Model: Patriot missile system (PAC-3 interceptor missiles)

    US approved sale of 500 PAC-3 missiles to Ukraine for $2.1 billion, financed by allies. Deliveries expected to begin in a few years (2028-2030). Ukraine requested immediate transfer from US stockpiles. [C3] (Source: world, ukraine_watch, BSKY: saltydogfella, aviapro1, militarysummary, ssternenko, operativnoZSU, bayraktar1070)

  • Model: BDRM-2 armored personnel carrier

    A deputy commander of an AFU brigade detained for attempting to sell a stolen BDRM-2 and 300 kg of TNT for $8,000 in Dnepropetrovsk Region. [C3] (Source: Slavyangrad)

  • Model: Zala UAV

    Used by ‘Center’ Group of Forces on Dobropolsk direction to identify and assist in liquidating an AFU artillery crew temporary deployment point and artillery piece. [B2] (Source: boris_rozhin)

  • Model: Lancet loitering munition

    Used to destroy an AFU artillery piece and temporary deployment point on Dobropolsk direction. [B2] (Source: boris_rozhin)

  • Model: Fire Point-1 UAV

    Nine Ukrainian ‘Fire Point-1’ drones destroyed by ‘BARS-Bryansk’ mobile fire group using ‘Molniya PVO’ interceptor drones. [B2] (Source: ramzayiegokomanda)

  • Model: Molniya PVO interceptor drone

    Used by ‘BARS-Bryansk’ mobile fire group to destroy nine Ukrainian ‘Fire Point-1’ drones. [B2] (Source: ramzayiegokomanda)

  • Model: Su-57 fifth-generation stealth multirole fighter

    Reportedly caught fire and completely destroyed at Akhtubinsk military airfield on October 29, 2026, during engine startup. [C3] (Source: BSKY: osintradar)

  • Model: Neptune missile system

    Used by Ukrainian forces to target Marinovka air base in Volgograd region, destroying two Russian Su-34 fighter jets. [B2] (Source: BSKY: tendar)

  • Model: Su-34 fighter jet

    Two destroyed at Marinovka air base by Neptune missiles. Total of 7 Su-34s, 2 Su-30SMs, 1 Su-35S, and 1 Su-57 destroyed, plus 2 Su-34s damaged in October. [C3] (Source: BSKY: tendar, BSKY: wartranslated, BSKY: rebel44cz)

3. Unit Dislocation and Activity (ORBAT Tracker)

  • Unit Name/Number: ‘Center’ Group of Forces

    Continuing attacks for previously liberated Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk). Attacking in areas of Grishino, Novoaleksandrovka, Rodinskoye, and Dorozhnoye. UAV crews supporting assault units, actively destroying AFU infantry and equipment in areas of Krasnoarmeysk, Mirnograd (Dimitrova), and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. [B2] (Source: RVvoenkor)

  • Unit Name/Number: ‘Vostok’ Group of Forces

    Concentrated main efforts on offensive towards Orekhov on Gulyaipole direction, primarily using 5th and 35th Combined Arms Armies. Advanced 2.5 km northeast of Malaya Tokmachka, with small assault groups penetrating 19 km deep into Ukrainian defense near Charivnoye, Krasnaya Krinitsa, and Omelnik. Advanced 4 km towards Vozdvizhevka, with units reaching northeastern part of the village. Advanced 1.5-2 km in Verkhnyaya Tersa area, penetrating the settlement and west of it. [C3] (Source: RVvoenkor)

  • Unit Name/Number: 14th Combined UAV Counteraction Battalion, ‘Sever’ Group

    On combat duty in Belgorod Oblast, shot down an enemy long-range attack UAV with a MANPADS during nighttime. [B2] (Source: boris_rozhin)

  • Unit Name/Number: SBU Center of Special Operations ‘Alpha’

    Ukraine plans to increase the capabilities of relevant units, including ‘Alpha’, intelligence structures, and other components of the Defense Forces, for long-range strikes. [C3] (Source: groupzarya)

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