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Current SITREP & ORBAT (31.10.2026, 00:01)

Ukrainian forces conducted successful strikes on Russian military assets and infrastructure, including two Su-34 fighter-bombers at Marinovka air base and an Mi-8 helicopter in Luhansk. Russia continued its campaign of missile and drone attacks against Ukrainian energy infrastructure, particularly in Dnipro, Kyiv, Poltava, and Kremenchuk. In the Strait of Hormuz, multiple oil tankers were targeted by Iranian forces. The US State Department approved a potential sale of 500 PAC-3 MSE interceptors to Ukraine, valued at $2.1 billion, to be financed by allies.

1. Kinetic Strike Log (5W)

  • [Ukraine | 2026-10-29] Where: Marinovka air base, Volgograd region, Russia

    Who/With What: Ukrainian Navy / Neptune cruise missiles (Long Neptune variant)

    Effect: Destruction of two Su-34 fighter-bombers at their parking spots. Satellite imagery confirmed extensive burning and debris. [A1] (Source: infomil_live, CyberBoroshno)

  • [Ukraine | 2026-10-30] Where: Tarasivka, Luhansk region, Ukraine

    Who/With What: Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade / Hornet one-way attack drones

    Effect: Destruction of a Russian Mi-8 military helicopter after it landed. The helicopter was hit in the fuel tanks and burned completely. [B2] (Source: Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade, milinfolive)

  • [Russia | 2026-10-30] Where: Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery, Samara Oblast, Russia; Konservsushprod plant, Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia; Yelets, Lipetsk region, Russia

    Who/With What: Ukrainian UAVs / Storm Shadow cruise missiles

    Effect: Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery: Fire and damage to a gas fractionation unit or hydrogen production complex, potentially affecting adjacent technological units. Konservsushprod plant: Laboratory completely destroyed, dairy plant damaged, and dry rations production plant seriously damaged. Yelets defense plant: Production buildings struck by Storm Shadow cruise missiles, workshop extensively destroyed. [B2] (Source: astrapress, warriorsukrainian, Exilenova+)

  • [Ukraine | 2026-10-30] Where: Dnipro, Kyiv and region, Poltava region (Kremenchuk), Ukraine

    Who/With What: Russian forces / Ballistic missiles, Shahed-136/Geran-2 jet-powered drones

    Effect: Damage to energy infrastructure, leading to emergency power outages in Dnipro and Kyiv. Kremenchuk oil refining infrastructure targeted by ballistic missiles. [C3] (Source: Zelensky, DTEK, Slavyangrad)

  • [Strait of Hormuz | 2026-10-29/30] Where: Strait of Hormuz, near Qeshm Island, near Lavan Island

    Who/With What: Iranian forces / Limpet mines, projectiles

    Effect: Panam-flagged tanker ‘Louise 1’ temporarily disabled by two limpet mines, causing an engine-room fire. Three other oil tankers halted or struck by mines/projectiles while attempting to use ‘unauthorised routes’, resulting in explosions and fires. [C3] (Source: Reuters, ClashReport, megatron_ron)

  • [Al-Jawf, Saudi Arabia | 2026-10-30] Where: Al-Jawf, Saudi Arabia

    Who/With What: Ansar Allah (Houthis) / Iran-made 9M133 ‘Dehlavieh-TB/AT’ Thermobaric and HEAT Guided Missiles (ATGM)

    Effect: Numerous PLC vehicles and positions struck. [C3] (Source: war_noir)

  • [Oleshky | 2026-10-30] Where: Oleshky, Ukraine

    Who/With What: Ukrainian UAV / Explosive device with Doppler sensor

    Effect: Sergeant Andrey Vedernikov, a sapper from the 98th Guards Airborne Division, killed during mine clearance. [C3] (Source: Slavyangrad)

  • [Izyum | 2026-10-29] Where: Izyum, Ukraine

    Who/With What: Russian forces / Guided aerial bombs (KABs)

    Effect: Five employees of the Izyum branch of the Kharkiv Center for Disease Control and Prevention killed, 14 others injured. [C3] (Source: astrapress)

  • [Dnipro | 2026-10-30] Where: Dnipro railway station, Dnipropetrovsk region, Ukraine

    Who/With What: Russian forces / Kamikaze drones (Geran-2)

    Effect: A train was hit, causing damage and emergency power outages in the city. [B2] (Source: intelslava, geopolitics_prime)

  • [Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant | 2026-10-30] Where: Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant, Ukraine

    Who/With What: UAV strike

    Effect: A welder from the central repair workshop died as a result of the UAV strike. [C3] (Source: Slavyangrad)

  • [Qeshm Island, Iran | 2026-10-30] Where: Qeshm Island, Iran

    Who/With What: Iranian IRGC Aerospace Force / Electronic warfare systems

    Effect: A U.S. MQM-170 reconnaissance drone was brought down and captured. [C3] (Source: ClashReport, geopolitics_prime)

  • [Al-Jawf, Saudi Arabia | 2026-10-30] Where: Al-Jawf, Saudi Arabia

    Who/With What: Houthis / Missiles and drones

    Effect: Targeting of Saudi vehicles. [C3] (Source: RezistanceTrench)

  • [Yelets, Lipetsk region, Russia | 2026-10-30] Where: Yelets, Lipetsk region, Russia

    Who/With What: Ukrainian forces / Storm Shadow cruise missiles

    Effect: Production buildings at a Russian defense plant struck, workshop extensively destroyed. [B2] (Source: noel_reports)

  • [Kyiv, Ukraine | 2026-10-30] Where: Kyiv, Ukraine

    Who/With What: Russian forces / Ballistic missile

    Effect: Impact flash captured by NASA satellite, causing significant power fluctuations and outages in parts of Kyiv. [A1] (Source: infomil_live, NASA, boris_rozhin)

2. Identified Equipment, Armament, and Combat Modifications

Aircraft

  • Model: Su-34 fighter-bomber

    Location: Marinovka air base, Volgograd region, Russia. Damage: Two aircraft destroyed by Neptune cruise missiles. [A1] (Source: infomil_live, CyberBoroshno)

  • Model: Mi-8 military helicopter

    Location: Tarasivka, Luhansk region, Ukraine. Damage: Destroyed by Hornet drones. [B2] (Source: Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade, milinfolive)

UAVs and Drones

  • Model: Hornet one-way attack drone

    Used by Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade to destroy a Russian Mi-8 helicopter in Luhansk region. Equipped with automatic guidance. [B2] (Source: Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade, noel_reports)

  • Model: MQM-170 reconnaissance drone (U.S.-made ‘Outlaw’ G2)

    Location: Qeshm Island, Iran. Damage: Shot down and captured by Iranian IRGC Aerospace Force using electronic warfare systems. [C3] (Source: ClashReport, geopolitics_prime)

  • Model: Fire Point-1 drones

    Location: Ukraine. Damage: Nine drones destroyed by Russian ‘Molniya’ interceptor drones. [C3] (Source: ukraine_watch)

  • Model: Saetbyol-9 (샛별-9) attack drone

    Location: North Korea. Activity: Successfully launched a new air-launched tactical cruise missile during military demonstration. [C3] (Source: OSINTdefender)

  • Model: Black Betty loitering UAVs

    Location: Ukraine. Activity: New batch of 45 drones received by Ukrainian Defense Forces, described as a cheaper, modernized version of RAM-2X loitering munitions. [C3] (Source: warriorsukrainian)

  • Model: Shark-M reconnaissance complexes

    Location: Ukraine. Activity: 14 complexes provided to the army. [C3] (Source: warriorsukrainian)

  • Model: RAM-2X complexes

    Location: Ukraine. Activity: 9 complexes provided to the army. [C3] (Source: warriorsukrainian)

  • Model: Geran-4 and Geran-5 jet-powered kamikaze drones

    Location: Ukraine. Damage: Downed by Ukrainian forces. [C3] (Source: BSKY: osintradar)

Missiles and Munitions

  • Model: Neptune cruise missile (Long Neptune variant)

    Used by Ukraine to strike Marinovka air base, Volgograd region, Russia, destroying two Su-34s. Range of strike was around 500-600 km, a new record for the Long Neptune. [A1] (Source: infomil_live, BSKY: chriso-wiki)

  • Model: PAC-3 MSE interceptors

    Activity: US State Department approved potential sale of 500 missiles to Ukraine for Patriot air defense systems, valued at $2.1 billion. Financed by Canada, Germany, Norway, and EU-backed Ukrainian funds. [C3] (Source: infomil_live, U.S. State Department)

  • Model: FP-7 ballistic missile

    Activity: Fire Point CEO Iryna Terekh stated it could be used against mobile Russian Iskander launchers, with a range of 300 km. [C3] (Source: noel_reports)

  • Model: FP-9 ballistic missile

    Activity: Fire Point CEO Iryna Terekh stated it is ‘very close’ to combat readiness, designed for about 800 km. [C3] (Source: noel_reports)

  • Model: Ruta B1 cruise missiles (drone-missiles)

    Activity: Dutch company Destinus to produce 1750 in 2026, with plans for 300 more. Range over 300 km, speed ~980 km/h, 150 kg warhead. Block 2 (700 km range, 250 kg warhead) and Block 3 (2000 km range, 250 kg warhead) variants also mentioned. [C3] (Source: dva_majors)

  • Model: ASTER 30 air defense missile system components

    Activity: Avio S.p.A. secured a production order worth over €55 million from MBDA for solid rocket motors and aerodynamic surfaces over three years. [C3] (Source: OSINTdefender)

  • Model: 9M133 ‘Dehlavieh-TB/AT’ Thermobaric and HEAT Guided Missiles (ATGM)

    Used by Ansar Allah (Houthis) in Al-Jawf, Saudi Arabia. [C3] (Source: war_noir)

  • Model: KN-25 600mm Multiple Rocket Launchers

    Used by Korean People’s Army (KPA) in military drills targeting mock-up South Korean bases and M1 Abrams tanks. [C3] (Source: war_noir)

  • Model: Storm Shadow cruise missiles

    Used by Ukrainian forces to strike production buildings at a Russian defense plant in Yelets, Lipetsk region. [B2] (Source: noel_reports)

  • Model: Naval Strike Missile (NSM) anti-ship missile

    Activity: Norwegian company Kongsberg successfully tested launch from a standard 20-foot container, making it indistinguishable from regular shipping containers. Range over 300 km, 120 kg warhead. [C3] (Source: two_majors)

Vehicles and Other Equipment

  • Model: BRDM-2 Armored reconnaissance and patrol vehicle

    Location: Ukraine. Damage: Illegally seized by a former deputy commander of a mechanized brigade and offered for sale with explosives. [C3] (Source: warriorsukrainian)

  • Model: 2S22 ‘Bohdana’ self-propelled gun

    Location: Area of responsibility of the Zapad Group of Forces, Ukraine. Damage: Destroyed by Russian forces. [C3] (Source: Slavyangrad)

3. Unit Dislocation and Activity (ORBAT Tracker)

  • Unit Name/Number: Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade

    Operations: Destroyed a Russian Mi-8 helicopter in Luhansk region using Hornet drones. [B2] (Source: Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade, milinfolive)

  • Unit Name/Number: Ukraine’s 125th Heavy Mechanized Brigade

    Operations: Underwent reforms, increasing personnel manning from 17% to 95-100% in main units. Tank battalion 95% manned, self-propelled artillery division 85% manned, mechanized battalions 95-100% manned. Received Western equipment including Bradley BMPs, Leopard tanks, and various artillery systems. Increased observation, FPV, heavy bomber, ‘wing’, and NRK calculations significantly. [C3] (Source: in_factum, BSKY: euromaidanpress)

  • Unit Name/Number: Ukraine’s 72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade named after the Black Zaporozhians

    Operations: Photographer created a retrospective photo project for the brigade’s anniversary. [C3] (Source: in_factum)

  • Unit Name/Number: Russia’s 98th Guards Airborne Division

    Operations: A sapper from the division, Sergeant Andrey Vedernikov, died during mine clearance in Oleshky. [C3] (Source: Slavyangrad)

  • Unit Name/Number: Russia’s 255th regiment

    Operations: Soldiers shared footage of daily life at the front, including repairing a motorcycle near an explosion site. [C3] (Source: two_majors)

  • Unit Name/Number: Russia’s Zapad Group of Forces

    Operations: Destroyed a 2S22 ‘Bohdana’ self-propelled gun of the AFU. [C3] (Source: Slavyangrad)

  • Unit Name/Number: Russia’s Central Military District Engineering Troops

    Operations: Colonel Andrey Romanchuk, Chief of Engineering Troops, confirmed killed in Ukrainian strike on command posts in Donetsk on August 26. [C3] (Source: yigal_levin)

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