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Current SITREP & ORBAT (30.10.2026, 10:08)

Over the past 24 hours, Russian forces launched a large-scale combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine, with a total of 24 missiles and 113 UAVs. Ukrainian air defense reported intercepting 99 targets, including 3 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles and 96 Shahed/Gerbera-type UAVs. No ballistic missiles or Zircon hypersonic missiles were intercepted. Ukraine resumed long-range drone strikes on Russian oil refineries, hitting the Novokuybyshevsk refinery in Samara Oblast.

1. Kinetic Strike Log (5W)

  • [Ukraine | Overnight 29-30 Oct] Where: Kyiv, Kremenchuk (Poltava Oblast), Dnipro, Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Kryvyi Rih, Odesa Oblast

    Who/With What: Russian forces with 8 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles, 6 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, 6 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles, 4 Kn-23 ballistic missiles, and 113 UAVs (83 jet-powered Shahed/Gerbera, other types).

    Effect: In Kyiv, 8 missiles (6 Iskander-M, 2 Zircon) struck a warehouse complex in the eastern part of the city, hitting the Kyiv Radio Plant and a Fire Point drone assembly workshop. In Kremenchuk, 16 missiles (6 Zircon, 6 Kh-59/69, 4 Kn-23) targeted the oil refinery and a hydroelectric station. Dnipro experienced emergency power outages due to strikes on energy infrastructure, specifically the PS-330 ‘Svitle’ substation. Kharkiv’s Osnovianskyi District was hit by a Geran-4 jet-drone, causing a large fire. A dry cargo ship carrying military equipment to Odesa port in the Black Sea was also struck. Overall, 17 locations sustained direct hits, and debris fell in 5 locations. Ukrainian air defense reported no interceptions of ballistic or Zircon missiles. [B2] (Source: kpszsu, AMK_Mapping, RVvoenkor, operativnoZSU, rybar, Slavyangrad, infomil_live, epoddubny, warhistoryalconafter, militarysummary, DDGeopolitics, geopolitics_prime)

  • [Russia | Overnight 29-30 Oct] Where: Novokuybyshevsk (Samara Oblast), Starodub (Bryansk Oblast), Moscow, Sterlitamak

    Who/With What: Ukrainian long-range drones.

    Effect: The Novokuybyshevsk oil refinery, a key supplier of jet fuel for the Russian Armed Forces, was struck, resulting in a large fire with at least 11 separate fire centers across its technological system and infrastructure. The ‘Konservsushprod’ plant in Starodub, which produces canned goods for the Russian army, was also attacked. Moscow airports experienced flight restrictions due to a reported 62-800+ drones intercepted on approach to the city. A plant in Sterlitamak was also hit by drone debris. [B2] (Source: astrapress, operativnoZSU, ClashReport, eRadarrua, yigal_levin, ButusovPlus, insiderUKR, nexta_live, AMK_Mapping, militarysummary, mediazzzona, ukrbavovna, boris_rozhin, new_militarycolumnist, ramzayiegokomanda, BSKY: euromaidanpress, BSKY: osint-signals.com)

  • [Strait of Hormuz | 29 Oct] Where: Near Strait of Hormuz, off Oman

    Who/With What: Unspecified mines (Iran claims) / IRGC (US/UK claims)

    Effect: Four tankers were reportedly struck by sea mines. UK authorities reported one tanker burning off Oman and another hit. [C3] (Source: SOFX, AMK_Mapping)

  • [Ukraine | 29 Oct] Where: Dnipro

    Who/With What: Russian jet-powered drone

    Effect: Struck a crowded platform at Dnipro’s main rail station, killing 14 people. Ukrainian air force intercepted three of four jet-powered drones in the attack. [B2] (Source: SOFX, BSKY: twmcltd)

  • [Ukraine | 29 Oct] Where: Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant

    Who/With What: UAV

    Effect: A welder, an employee of the station, was killed while commuting on an electric scooter. The attack was reportedly aimed at the moving individual. [C3] (Source: astrapress)

  • [Russia | 29 Oct] Where: Belgorod Oblast

    Who/With What: Ukrainian ‘Trust’ UAV

    Effect: Intercepted by a ‘Yolka’ anti-UAV drone operated by ‘Bars-Belgorod’ fighters. [B2] (Source: ramzayiegokomanda)

2. Identified Equipment, Armament, and Combat Modifications

UAVs

  • Model: Shahed-136 / Geran-2

    Russia is reportedly producing up to 3,000 Geran-2s and ~700 Geran-5s monthly. Ukrainian forces report Geran-5 speeds reaching 1,000 km/h during maneuvers. Future modifications are expected to integrate AI for autonomous target recognition using machine vision and the Susanin optical navigation system to reduce reliance on satellite signals. [C3] (Source: Slavyangrad)

  • Model: Shahed-type drones

    Russia has started fitting these drones with a compass that needs no satellites, apparently to circumvent GPS jamming. [C3] (Source: BSKY: euromaidanpress)

  • Model: FP-1, FP-2

    Ukrainian defense company Fire Point states 90% of its drone components are manufactured domestically. [C3] (Source: BSKY: osintradar)

  • Model: MQM-170C ‘Outlaw’ drone

    Captured intact by the IRGC west of the Strait of Hormuz using electronic warfare. [B2] (Source: AMK_Mapping)

  • Model: ‘Trust’ UAV

    Kinetic interception by a ‘Yolka’ anti-UAV drone. [B2] (Source: ramzayiegokomanda)

Missiles

  • Model: AIM-120 AMRAAM

    Japan will host final assembly of the U.S. AIM-120 AMRAAM air-to-air missile. [C3] (Source: SOFX)

  • Model: PrSM (Precision Strike Missile) Increment 4

    Lockheed Martin published a photo of its developing long-range missile with a range of over 1000 km. The missile will be equipped with an L3Harris ramjet engine and a homing system for moving ground and sea targets. It is designed to be launched from M142 HIMARS or M270A2 MLRS combat vehicles. [C3] (Source: milinfolive)

  • Model: Patriot PAC-3 interceptors

    The US is delaying deliveries of Patriot PAC-3 interceptors to Ukraine, citing the need to balance its own stockpiles with partners’ needs, with the Middle East currently taking priority. [C3] (Source: BSKY: osintradar)

Artillery

  • Model: 2S1 ‘Gvozdika’ self-propelled artillery

    A FAB-500 with UMPK hit near the firing position of a Ukrainian 2S1 ‘Gvozdika’ crew. [B2] (Source: infomil_live)

Other Equipment

  • Model: SIG M7 automatic rifle

    An example of a SIG M7 automatic rifle stock with a failed attachment point. The M1913 clamping screw reportedly sheared after the operator fell. This unit has two vulnerable points: the buffer tube attachment screw and the M1913 clamping screw. [C3] (Source: infantmilitario)

  • Model: Joint Tactical Fuel System

    U.S. Air Force and Marine Corps established a joint tactical fuel system using both Air Force and Marine Corps contingency equipment during Exercise Beverly Sword 27-1 at Kadena Air Base, Japan. The system extends the carrying capacity of R-11 fuel trucks (6,000 gallons) to the Marine Corps’ 20,000-gallon fuel bladder capacity. [A1] (Source: video)

3. Unit Dislocation and Activity (ORBAT Tracker)

  • Unit Name/Number: Group of Forces ‘Center’

    Continues attacks beyond the previously liberated city of Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk). Russian troops are attacking in the areas of Hryshyne, Novooleksandrivka, Rodynske, and Dorozhne. UAV crews support assault units, actively destroying Ukrainian infantry and equipment in the areas of Krasnoarmiisk, Myrnohrad (Dymytrov), and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. [C3] (Source: RVvoenkor)

  • Unit Name/Number: 1st Motor Rifle Brigade

    A new infiltration group was detected in the Dobropillya direction, northeastern flank, attempting to take up positions and dig in along the highway northwest of Dobropillya and 250 meters north, and on the southern outskirts of Blahodat. [B2] (Source: AMK_Mapping)

  • Unit Name/Number: 26th Tank Regiment (47th Tank Division, 1st Guards Tank Army [GTA], Moscow Military District)

    Operating in the Kupyansk direction, reportedly planning to disband several platoons to create an unmanned aircraft system (UAS) company. [C3] (Source: BSKY: thestudyofwar)

  • Unit Name/Number: ‘Khimera’ unit (Ukrainian)

    Ambushed Russian troops advancing toward Zaporizhzhia, resulting in two Russian soldiers surrendering. [B2] (Source: BSKY: euromaidanpress)

  • Unit Name/Number: ‘Bars-Belgorod’ fighters

    Performed a kinetic interception of a Ukrainian ‘Trust’ UAV using a ‘Yolka’ anti-UAV drone. [B2] (Source: ramzayiegokomanda)

  • Unit Name/Number: FPV-Air Defense Center ‘Rubikon’

    Intercepted over 9000 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs, with over 2500 in October 2026. The share of long-range models in interceptions exceeds 70% for this period. [C3] (Source: boris_rozhin)

  • Unit Name/Number: 14th Combined Battalion

    Mobile fire group successfully engaged an aircraft-type UAV. [B2] (Source: boris_rozhin)

  • Unit Name/Number: German brigade in Lithuania

    Deployed to monitor Kaliningrad and Belarus with electronic warfare capabilities. [C3] (Source: BSKY: bartelds)

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