Ukrainian forces conducted a significant underground operation on the Kupiansk direction, advancing over 15 km and inflicting substantial Russian casualties. Meanwhile, Russia continued missile and drone strikes across Ukraine, targeting energy infrastructure and military depots. Poland has been selected as the site for a new Patriot PAC-3 missile maintenance facility, enhancing NATO’s air defense capabilities.
1. Kinetic Strike Log (5W)
- [Ukraine | Day] Where: Dnipro, Kharkiv, Chernihiv Oblast, Kramatorsk, Komar, Fedorivka, Luhansk, Donetsk
Who/With What: Russian forces with ballistic missiles (from Taganrog), drones, FAB-500 glide bombs with UMPC, S-400 (RM-48U), Iskander-M
Effect: Damage to a lyceum stadium and educational facility windows in Dnipro; warehouse building struck in Kharkiv’s Slobidskyi District; military supply warehouse in Chernihiv Oblast destroyed by Geran-2/4 drones, causing a massive fire and loss of small tactical drones and winter equipment; fire engine struck by a drone in Kramatorsk while rescuers were saving animals; drone drops on claimed Ukrainian positions in Komar and south of Fedorivka; UAVs struck logistics vehicle parking lot in Donetsk; shops No24/No25 and a nearby hangar damaged at the 75th Arsenal in Luhansk. [B2] (Source: noel_reports, voenkorKotenok, euromaidanpress, maks23, Slavyangrad, scaratlas, ssternenko, vanek_nikolaev, warriorsukrainian, Crimeanwind)
- [Russia | Day] Where: Bryansk, Oryol, Tula, Kaluga, Moscow (region), Lipetsk, Smolensk, Shebekino
Who/With What: Ukrainian forces with drones
Effect: Dozens of drones launched towards Bryansk, Oryol, Tula, and Kaluga regions, heading for Moscow region; over 100 drones moving through Bryansk, Kaluga, and Oryol regions towards Tula and Moscow regions; missile alert in Russia with air defense working over Lipetsk against jet targets, preliminary information about strikes and a fire near the airfield; Ukrainian drones reflected by air defense in Smolensk; drone attack in Shebekino injured a man with shrapnel wounds to the thigh, damaged house glazing and two cars. [B2] (Source: noel_reports, Sladkov_plus, new_militarycolumnist, belpepel, warriorsukrainian, maks23, nexta_live)
- [Ukraine | Day] Where: Kyiv, Odesa Oblast, Rovno region
Who/With What: Russian forces with ballistic missiles (RM-48U from S-400), drones, Iskander-M
Effect: Ballistic missiles and drones hit Kyiv, Kharkov, and Orel [Illichivsk]; 6-8 missiles struck eastern Kyiv, targeting CHP-4, CHP-6, and CHP-5 (twice); Southern bridge in Kyiv hit, causing transport collapse and metro disruptions; power outages reported in parts of Chernigov region after energy object hits; strikes also recorded in Kharkov and Rovno regions; previously unidentified Russian cruise missile downed in Odesa Oblast, sustaining minor damage for examination. [B2] (Source: Slavyangrad, militarysummary, osintradar, boris_rozhin, RVvoenkor, astrapress)
- [Yemen | Day] Where: Asrar area, Mawiya district, Taiz Governorate
Who/With What: Houthi forces with missiles
Effect: Houthi missiles failed to reach their targets. [C3] (Source: r_combatfootage)
- [Syria | Day] Where: Syria
Who/With What: Jordanian airstrikes
Effect: Four members of a family, including three children, killed. [C3] (Source: video)
2. Identified Equipment, Armament, and Combat Modifications
UAVs
- Model: FP-5 Flamingo cruise missile
Remains in production, not cancelled. Achieved notable results, striking Titan-Barrikady defense plant in Volgograd and VNIIR-Progress in Cheboksary. Effectiveness scrutinized due to interception rates, but developed under wartime pressure without state financing. [B2] (Source: noel_reports, przemysl, warhistoryalconafter, rybar, ramzayiegokomanda)
- Model: Geran-4 jet-powered drones
Ukrainian interception rate steadily improving, averaging nearly 60% over the past three months and reaching up to 80% during some attacks. F-16s, Mirages, and MiG-29s play a major role in interception. [C3] (Source: noel_reports, UkraineNow, warriorsukrainian)
- Model: Russian jet-powered strike drone
Destroyed by a Ukrainian interceptor drone, threatening an important facility. [B2] (Source: euromaidanpress)
- Model: Russian Shahed/Geran UAVs
High-altitude intercepts by Ukrainian sting drones. [B2] (Source: r_combatfootage)
- Model: Talon interceptor drone
Developed by German company Auterion, launched from a handheld, rifle-style launcher. [C3] (Source: militarnyi.com)
- Model: Autonomous drone (Purdue University)
Developed to track moving targets, avoid obstacles, and predict movements without GPS or internet, using 3D LiDAR technology. [B2] (Source: ClashReport, conflict_tr, nexta_live, osintradar)
- Model: UAVs (Russian)
Developed with combat modules and used for reconnaissance and striking targets. [C3] (Source: boris_rozhin)
Missiles & Rockets
- Model: Patriot PAC-3 interceptors
Lockheed Martin plans to open a dedicated maintenance facility in Poland for these missiles, in coordination with the U.S. government, to serve NATO allies. The facility will repair and recertify missiles, not produce new ones. [A1] (Source: poland-selected-for-new-pac-3-missile-maintenance-center, infantmilitario, new_militarycolumnist, warriorsukrainian, osintradar, militarnyi.com)
- Model: Aster 30 air defense missiles
Expected to be included in Italy’s 13th military aid package for Ukraine, but the package is stalled awaiting U.S. midterm elections. [C3] (Source: italys-ukraine-aid-package-stalls-ahead-of-u-s-midterms-report-says, warriorsukrainian, Slavyangrad, militarnyi.com)
- Model: Solid rocket booster for CoAspire’s CHAOS cruise missile
X-Bow Systems will build this booster for the U.S. Navy’s CHAOS program, aimed at providing allied nations with a low-cost weapon for striking ships and land targets. [C3] (Source: x-bow-to-build-boosters-for-coaspires-chaos-cruise-missile)
- Model: AGM-183A Air-Launched Rapid Response Weapon (ARRW)
Lockheed Martin granted a $694 million contract by the Air Force for production and fielding. [C3] (Source: industry)
- Model: Crotale air defense systems (Finnish-supplied French)
Intercepting Russian aerial targets over Ukraine, primarily jet-powered drones, at ranges of 10–11 km and altitudes up to 6 km. [C3] (Source: osintradar)
- Model: Storm Shadow / SCALP EG cruise missiles
Engine production for these systems is planned to expand, alongside seven industrial expansion projects in Europe and the US. [C3] (Source: osintradar)
Other Equipment
- Model: Protected laptops (BlueChip project)
Anduril and Qualcomm presented a project to produce protected laptops for the US army, government agencies, and emergency services, aiming to reduce reliance on foreign components. [C3] (Source: yigal_levin)
- Model: Starlink
Limited use for Ukrainian forces due to risk of Russian attacks on satellites, according to Elon Musk. Server-side checks implemented to prevent high-speed drone usage with civilian tariffs. [C3] (Source: ramzayiegokomanda, operativnoZSU, insiderUKR, astrapress)
- Model: F-15 Eagle (aircraft)
GBU-31 joint direct attack munitions constructed for this aircraft in support of Exercise Beverly Sword 27-1. [C3] (Source: news)
3. Unit Dislocation and Activity (ORBAT Tracker)
- Unit Name/Number: 83rd Separate Airborne Assault Brigade (Russian VDV)
Former Deputy Commander, Lieutenant Colonel Sergey Frolov, sentenced to 21 years in a strict regime colony for illegal arms trafficking, bribery, and fraud related to fake combat wounds. 35 servicemen, including Colonel Gorodilov (brigade commander), involved in a scheme to receive payments for fake injuries, totaling around 200 million rubles. [B2] (Source: infomil_live, mediazzzona)
- Unit Name/Number: 2nd Corps of the National Guard of Ukraine ‘Khartia’
Conducting ‘Veles’ operation on the Kupiansk direction, advancing over 15 km underground, destroying over 100 Russian occupiers and capturing over 30. [C3] (Source: UkraineNow, milinfolive, nexta_live, ukrbavovna, operativnoZSU, yigal_levin, astrapress)
- Unit Name/Number: 1st Squadron, 180th Cavalry Regiment, 25th Infantry Brigade Combat Team, Oklahoma Army National Guard
Members conducted roll call and read biographies for three unaccompanied veterans during a committal service in Ardmore, Oklahoma. [C3] (Source: news)
- Unit Name/Number: 27th Finance Battalion (New York Army National Guard)
Lt. Col. Miguel Rodriguez assumed command, and Command Sgt. Maj. Kenneth Geib assumed responsibility as senior enlisted leader during a ceremony in Queens. [C3] (Source: news)
- Unit Name/Number: Marine Heavy Helicopter Training Squadron (HMHT) 302, Marine Aircraft Group 29, 2nd Marine Aircraft Wing (U.S. Marines)
Conducted external lift operations during a deployment for training in Biloxi, Mississippi, providing foundational training for new CH-53K pilots and those transitioning from CH-53E. [C3] (Source: video)
- Unit Name/Number: 1st Battalion, 8th Marine Regiment, 2nd Marine Division (U.S. Marines)
Practiced non-lethal crowd control tactics as part of a non-lethal weapons course at Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune, North Carolina. [C3] (Source: video)
- Unit Name/Number: 3rd Infantry Division (U.S. Army)
Combat Driver’s Training Course conducted at Fort Stewart, Georgia, to prepare soldiers for challenging driving conditions and operating military vehicles. [C3] (Source: video)
- Unit Name/Number: 1434th Motor Rifle Regiment ‘AKHMAT-Chechnya’ (Russian)
Personnel carrying out operations in Sumy, identifying enemy targets and supporting the advance of Russian units. UAV crews conduct aerial reconnaissance. [C3] (Source: DDGeopolitics, boris_rozhin)
- Unit Name/Number: 6th Cossack Brigade and 85th Brigade (Russian)
FPV drone crews destroying shelters, generators, UAV control posts, and enemy equipment. [B2] (Source: boris_rozhin)
- Unit Name/Number: 50th Separate Brigade ‘Varyag’ (Russian)
Operating on the Orekhovsky tactical direction, destroying enemy pickups, trucks, and NRTCs. [B2] (Source: boris_rozhin)
- Unit Name/Number: 14th Separate Mechanized Brigade (Ukrainian)
Seeking donations for charging stations to support operations on the Kharkiv direction. [C3] (Source: yigal_levin)
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